Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.385621 0.444610 0.506519 0.576059 0.651715 0.731270 0.820979
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.296426 0.376562 0.465838 0.571561 0.692250 0.824695 0.979989
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.244845 0.340305 0.452522 0.591553 0.756616 0.943925 1.170131
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.193260 0.295369 0.422195 0.586408 0.788673 1.025262 1.318497
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.166796 0.277186 0.420913 0.613854 0.858509 1.151418 1.521584
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.136476 0.248726 0.402440 0.616588 0.896100 1.238373 1.678990
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.112241 0.224610 0.386309 0.619604 0.932255 1.322890 1.833962
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.095962 0.209525 0.380443 0.634664 0.983067 1.425695 2.012481
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.083721 0.198656 0.378996 0.654660 1.039914 1.536428 2.202056
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.073175 0.188726 0.377543 0.673698 1.095133 1.645400 2.390536
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059904 0.171307 0.362448 0.671352 1.120030 1.714451 2.528351
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.051181 0.160750 0.356975 0.682251 1.162813 1.807084 2.697174
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.040536 0.144136 0.340105 0.675272 1.180686 1.867885 2.827296
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.029946 0.124522 0.315600 0.654388 1.177129 1.899005 2.918410
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.025109 0.117249 0.312285 0.666669 1.221880 1.996418 3.098305
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018756 0.103673 0.295425 0.655427 1.230784 2.043984 3.211827
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016672 0.101734 0.300899 0.681500 1.296248 2.171102 3.433665
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.012985 0.093203 0.292021 0.682351 1.322879 2.243735 3.582312
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010044 0.085692 0.284227 0.684329 1.350854 2.318271 3.734016
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008328 0.081973 0.284117 0.699663 1.399738 2.423041 3.927972
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007125 0.079796 0.287137 0.720537 1.457528 2.541054 4.140996
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006042 0.077557 0.289718 0.740549 1.514168 2.657938 4.353408
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.004341 0.070672 0.280412 0.737880 1.534091 2.721519 4.492255